If the 16 teams qualified for the Champions League knockout stages will be set only Monday noon, the specifics of the draw to determine the most probable posters. Thus, the PSG is likely to face Bayern Munich (or Borussia Dortmund) while Monaco could inherit Schalke.
PSG PSG-Bayern or Dortmund?
Like last season, following the adventures of PSG in the Champions League could go through Germany. Parisians certainly keep good memories, but if they had had fun last winter with Bayer Leverkusen, it could be entirely different in February. Laurent Blanc's men, in fact 21% chance of falling over Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, the two finalists in the Champions League Chelsea in 2013. Then follows 19% chance and the two clubs in Madrid, Real and Atletico, and FC Porto, every three to 13%. PSG-Porto dreamed by many fans did not in fact the odds ...
Monaco, one in four chance of playing Schalke!
As PSG, Monaco may have to cross the Rhine to contest his eighth finals of the Champions League. Indeed, the club from the Principality 24% to face Schalke 04! A draw twice as likely that a Monaco-Shakhtar Donetsk, which only appears 11%. For the rest, the ASM more risk (18%) of facing an English club, Arsenal or Manchester City, Juventus and Basel, the probability is only 14%.
Probability for each draw
Like last season, following the adventures of PSG in the Champions League could go through Germany. Parisians certainly keep good memories, but if they had had fun last winter with Bayer Leverkusen, it could be entirely different in February. Laurent Blanc's men, in fact 21% chance of falling over Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, the two finalists in the Champions League Chelsea in 2013. Then follows 19% chance and the two clubs in Madrid, Real and Atletico, and FC Porto, every three to 13%. PSG-Porto dreamed by many fans did not in fact the odds ...
Monaco, one in four chance of playing Schalke!
As PSG, Monaco may have to cross the Rhine to contest his eighth finals of the Champions League. Indeed, the club from the Principality 24% to face Schalke 04! A draw twice as likely that a Monaco-Shakhtar Donetsk, which only appears 11%. For the rest, the ASM more risk (18%) of facing an English club, Arsenal or Manchester City, Juventus and Basel, the probability is only 14%.
Probability for each draw
Why more or less probable prints?
The teams qualified for the knockout stages are divided into two hats, one with the first of each group, the other with their second. However, a team of one of these hats can not meet all the teams in the other hat. Indeed, both teams were in the same group in the group stage is necessarily avoid. What is however no effect on the probability of each draw, the number of potential opponents being reduced to just seven teams instead of 8.
Especially, two teams from the same country can not compete in the fourth round. And this is where is made all the difference. For example, if Monaco is drawn first, she obviously has a one in six chance of meeting one of the six teams that are assigned to it in the other hat. But if Monaco is pulled in second and Chelsea was shot first, Monaco is more likely to meet Arsenal and Manchester City as Basel or Shaktior Donetsk since Chelsea could inherit these two English clubs. Then you pass details of the calculations ...
And last year?
Bayer Leverkusen was much the most likely draw for PSG in the knockout stages, as well as those facing Dortmund, Manchester City or Chelsea, all at 17%. Also note that Arsenal had 31% chance of finding Bayern. And the inevitable happened ...
The teams qualified for the knockout stages are divided into two hats, one with the first of each group, the other with their second. However, a team of one of these hats can not meet all the teams in the other hat. Indeed, both teams were in the same group in the group stage is necessarily avoid. What is however no effect on the probability of each draw, the number of potential opponents being reduced to just seven teams instead of 8.
Especially, two teams from the same country can not compete in the fourth round. And this is where is made all the difference. For example, if Monaco is drawn first, she obviously has a one in six chance of meeting one of the six teams that are assigned to it in the other hat. But if Monaco is pulled in second and Chelsea was shot first, Monaco is more likely to meet Arsenal and Manchester City as Basel or Shaktior Donetsk since Chelsea could inherit these two English clubs. Then you pass details of the calculations ...
And last year?
Bayer Leverkusen was much the most likely draw for PSG in the knockout stages, as well as those facing Dortmund, Manchester City or Chelsea, all at 17%. Also note that Arsenal had 31% chance of finding Bayern. And the inevitable happened ...
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